Welcome To Rio Verde Trading

The stock market has often been compared to a casino and stock trading to gambling. There is even a book called Trade Like A Bookie, by David Caplan. The big difference between trading and gambling is that a stock trader has much better control of risk than does a gambler. In the game of Black Jack or 21 you pretty much have to play every hand. You can’t stand to one side, count cards, and when the count is in your favor step in and play, the casino would soon ask you to leave. But that is exactly what I do with my trading system. I stand to one side, count cards-that is observe the market action, and when the count or market is in my favor I step up and make a trade. From back testing my trading strategy, the probability of a profit is 80-90%. In actual trading this trading strategy has been very consistent with 74% profitable trades. Hence the name of my trading manual The 74% Solution. By waiting until the market gives me an 80-90% probability of a profitable trade my risk is reduced considerably. Gambling this is not.
Most of the time I am out of the market, watching and waiting for the right opportunity. Originally I  used this system as a stand alone trading strategy. Being out of the market most of the time, I soon realized I could maximize the use of my capital by using a part of my capital to invest in dividend paying value stocks. This gave me three streams of potential income; first, capital appreciation from the stocks I owned, second, dividend income from the stocks I owned and thirdly, trading income from the 74% solution system. To learn more go here.



NEWS and VEWS: At Rio Verde Trading

“I think that when the United States felt they were at the forefront of the so-called civilized world and when the Soviet Union collapsed, they were under the illusion that the United States was capable of everything and they could act with impunity. And that’s always a trap, because in this situation, a person and a country begins to commit mistakes. There is no need to analyze the situation. No need to think about the consequences. No need to economize. And the country becomes inefficient and one mistake follows another. And I think that’s the trap the United States has found itself in.”  Vladimir Putin

September 22: Rand Paul’s Maneuver Against Endless Wars
The Kentucky senator is trying to inject urgency into his effort to reassert congressional control over where the United States fights and kills. By Conor Friedersdorf at The Atlantic,read here.

September 22: Reclaiming the Truth About Vietnam
Buried with the massacred victims of senseless wars. That’s were our values are kept by Robert Koehler at Antiwar.com, read here.

September 22: Trump, We Hardly Knew Ye by Donald Jeffries at LewRockwell.com, read here. And this folks is why I did not vote; se my Blog of November 5, 2016, Strike A Blow For Liberty, Don’t Vote! “The military industrial complex, also known as the deep state, have such complete control that any potential reformers are bought off, marginalized or eliminated, they shot Kennedy didn’t they?” Things turned out just as I predicted. ntm

September 21: ALERT: Multi-Billionaire Hugo Salinas Price Says This Catalyst Has Gold Headed Thousands Of Dollars Higher  at KWN, read here.

September 21: A Force Greater Than the Fed By Brian Maher at The Daily Reckoning, read here.
“it was Warren Buffett who said, ‘You only learn who has been swimming naked when the tide goes out.’
When the great liquidity tide goes out… we fear much of Wall Street will be caught in the buff…”

September 21: Trump at the UN: The Politics of Rodomontade
Full of sound and fury, signifying not much by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here. “In any case, Trump isn’t going to attack North Korea unless the North Korean leader strikes first” But it would not be the first time the US has cornered another country into a box, tricking them into attacking us first so that we could blame the war on them; remember Pearl Harbor? Or lying about or faking an attack which is then used to justify a declaration of war; remember Vietnam? Remember Iraq? Of course now days the president does not need a constitutional congressional declaration of war, he can start a war any time he wants unilaterally, the constitution be damned! ntm

September 21: Isn’t it Ironic? Trump’s UN speech analysis By Bionic Mosquito, read here. Irony is closely related to cognitive dissonance, “a person who simultaneously holds two or more contradictory beliefs” It is strange that these monsters, Trump, Bush, Clinton et all, never look in the mirror. Every thing they piously condemn in others they are guilty of themselves. Governments lie, politicians lie, in fact they hardly ever tell the truth and are hardly ever held accountable for their lies, even if the lies get millions of people killed! ntm

September 20: Today the music stops  by Simon Black at Sovereign Man, read here.

September 20: Trump’s Now ‘Blowing Kisses to Janet Yellen’ By Craig Wilson at The Daily Reckoning, video and article, read and or watch here.here.

September 20: John Embry – The Charade Is About To End And The Implications For The Public Are Horrifying at KWN, read here.                                                 “When the dollar is finally dethroned, investors who have large physical gold and silver holdings as well as their respective shares will be the ones who survive because these assets will be one of the few ports in a violent financial storm.”

September 20: Trump: US May Have No Choice But to Totally Destroy North Korea
Cites 40-Year-Old Kidnapping Case as Proof of ‘Twisted Regime’ by Jason Ditz at Antiwar.com, read here.
“Waist deep in the Big Muddy!

And the big fool says to push on!” Pete Seeger

September 20: The End Is Nigh by Jeff Thomas at International Man, read here. Jeff Thomas on US economic suicide, the end of the  US empire is coming.

September 19: Vietnam War: New Ken Burns Documentary Dismisses the Origins of the Futile, Disastrous Conflict By Jeff Stein at Newsweek, read here. “that absence of ‘reckoning’ is why we are still dealing with the consequences of Vietnam in failed U.S. policies that continue today,” in Afghanistan and elsewhere.
America has learned nothing in the last 70 years, not only the military but in politics. the economy especially the Federal Reserve; we keep doing the same disastrous things over and over, expecting different results. If the deep state has learned anything it is how to deceive the people, to cover their tracks, to control the debate. After 9/11 little George “shit for brains” Bush had 75% of America convinced that Sadam Hussein and Iraq werer responsible for 9/11. And the same bull spit is going on today! We have learned nothing! NTM

September 18: Gold & Silver Pullback
King World News note: “The action on the Comex casino is noise. Weak paper longs are being taken out of the market and the bullion banks are making money on their shorts. Meaning, it’s business as usual. In the meantime, use major pullbacks to accumulate physical gold and silver as well as the high-quality mining shares. These markets bottomed in early 2016 and are on their way to new all-time highs but the ride will be bumpy.
After such a long mid-cycle (cyclical) bear market (5 1/2 years), it’s amazing how many of the most ardent gold and silver bulls are either throwing in the towel or letting their emotions get the better of them. There may be more manufactured downside so the bullion banks can cover more of their shorts. Just remember, the action is designed to shake you out of your positions in the secular bull market.
Before gold and silver are re-priced, the powers that be want as few people as possible protecting themselves by holding physical gold and silver. That is why the psychological warfare continues in the metals markets. Do not let this or any further shakeouts cause you to lose your positions.”

September 18: Greyerz – The Financial Doomsday Clock Is Close To Midnight by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.

September 18: A “Financial H-Bomb” Has Exploded by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

September 17: Gerald Celente: Founder & Director of the Trends Research Institute; audio interview at KWN, listen here.

September 17: INVESTORS PREPARE: China To Launch Massive Bull Market In Gold And These Surprising Markets by Dr. Stephen Leeb at KWN, read here.

September 15: Mexican Congress Debates the Monetization of the ‘Libertad’ Silver Ounce by Mike Shedlock  at The Daily Coin, read here.

September 15: The Golden Solution to America’s Debt Crisis by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

September 15: Greyerz and Boockvar Weigh In On The Pullback In Gold And What Investors Should Expect Next at King World News, read here.

September 14: Rand Paul’s Comeback
He gets it – while all too many libertarians don’t; by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.

September 14: An Extremely Important Look At The Big Picture By Urban Carmel, Editor Fat-Pitch at KWN, read here.  “There is a staggering amount of money sloshing around the world trying to find a home, with investors and fund managers desperately attempting to find the next big wave to ride.  As things begin to come unglued in financial markets, the demand for safe havens such as gold and silver will dramatically increase.  As this unfolds, it will create massive gains in both metals.”

September 13: The Dangerous Decline of U.S. Hegemony By Daniel Lazare at Consortium News, read here. This is the must read article of the day if not the week. It asks the question and maybe answers, where goeth the U.S. as it’s world empire is coming apart at the seems?  Do we start World War III, or wisely pull back to our own borders and mind our own business? Knowing the idiots occupying Washington, my greatest fear is on some version of war. NTM

September 11: America’s Fiscal Doomsday Machine by David Stockman at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

September 11: Forget Pullbacks, China Guaranteeing Epic Bull Markets In Gold & Silver by Dr. Stephen Leeb at KWN, read here.

September 11: Why Did Robert Mueller Obstruct Congress’s 9/11 Probe?
The 9/11 families’ lawsuit against the Saudis could prove revealing, by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here. Maybe when Saudi Arabia starts selling their oil for yuan and rubles the US government will start telling the truth about “our friends” Saudi Arabia; see links below, the times they at a changing.

Alert: The times they are a changing. The following four links are a harbinger of things to come, that is the end of Western that is American world dominance in trade and politics. Coming is the end of the dollar as the sole reserve currency and the emergence of a China gold backed yuan will be a game changer. Much of the world is sick and tired of American bullying and wars and will welcome the change with open arms. China goes around the world building bridges, America goes around the world bombing bridges, who do you think is winning?  By gold and silver my friends, by gold and silver!

September 11: Venezuela Is About to Ditch the Dollar in Major Blow to US: Here’s Why It Matters By Darius Shahtahmasebi  at  LewRockwell.com, read here.

September 9: Andrew Maguire: Whistleblower, Independent London Metals Trader & Analyst Audio interview at KWN, listen here.

September 9: Putin/Xi Plan to Bypass the Dollar Is a True Bombshell – A Report From the BRICS Summit
The oil/yuan/gold triad is coming for the petrodollar By Pepe Escobar for Russia Insider at LewRockwell.com, read here.

September 8: Dear President Trump: America is in for a Rude Awakening in January by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.