Welcome To Rio Verde Trading

The stock market has often been compared to a casino and stock trading to gambling. There is even a book called Trade Like A Bookie, by David Caplan. The big difference between trading and gambling is that a stock trader has much better control of risk than does a gambler. In the game of Black Jack or 21 you pretty much have to play every hand. You can’t stand to one side, count cards, and when the count is in your favor step in and play, the casino would soon ask you to leave. But that is exactly what I do with my trading system. I stand to one side, count cards-that is observe the market action, and when the count or market is in my favor I step up and make a trade. From back testing my trading strategy, the probability of a profit is 80-90%. In actual trading this trading strategy has been very consistent with 74% profitable trades. Hence the name of my trading manual The 74% Solution. By waiting until the market gives me an 80-90% probability of a profitable trade my risk is reduced considerably. Gambling this is not. read

Most of the time I am out of the market, watching and waiting for the right opportunity. Originally I  used this system as a stand alone trading strategy. Being out of the market most of the time, I soon realized I could maximize the use of my capital by using a part of my capital to invest in dividend paying value stocks. This gave me three streams of potential income; first, capital appreciation from the stocks I owned, second, dividend income from the stocks I owned and thirdly, trading income from the 74% solution system. To learn more go here.

NEWS and VEWS: At Rio Verde Trading

October 19: Silver Eagle Demand Returns With A Vengeance As Political And Economic Turmoil Increases by Steve St. Angelo at Silver Seek, read here.

October 19: My Most Passionate Warning Yet by Andrew Hoffman, read here.

October 19: Assange’s Fate
The left turns on him, the right embraces him by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.  “Assange’s fate, whatever it turns out to be, limns our own: if he goes down, then, in a sense, so do we all. Because what that means is that there’s no room for truth-tellers in our world, and no tolerance for heroes. And that’s not the kind of world I care to live in.”

October 19: Is the System Rigged? You Betcha. By Patrick J. Buchanan at LewRockwell.com, read here.
“Big money and the media power of the establishment elites and the transnationals may well prevail.
And if they do, Middle America — those who cling to their bibles, bigotries and guns in Barack Obama’s depiction, those “deplorables” who are “racist, sexist, xenophobic, homophobic,” who are “not America” and are “irredeemable” in Hillary Clinton’s depiction — will have to accept the new regime.
But that does not mean they must love it, like it or respect it.
Because, in the last analysis, yes, Virginia, the system is rigged.”

October 18: The Game of Power by Nomi Prins at The Daily Reckoning, read here. “For now, get your wealth out of the line of fire and away from over-inflated stocks.”

October 18: US Allies Are Funding Isis – and Hillary Clinton Knew All Along
by Patrick Cockburn, read here.

October 18: Blowback for American sins in the Philippines by Stephen Kinzer, read here.

October 18: Iceland Today, the US Tomorrow? Freezing in Iceland, Ron Paul on the coming US bank customer catastrophe, read here.

October 17: The Fed’s Legacy: Asset Bubbles and Lost Confidence by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.,

October 17: Trumped!
David Stockman’s new book analyzes the Trump phenomenon by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
“Here is where Trump comes in: he appeals to these people, the forgotten victims of the Bubble Economy, the working class that no longer works, the pawns who fight our wars and die on foreign battlefields. They flock to his rallies in the tens of thousands, they shout their defiance of the elites who despise The Donald – and them.”

October 17: Sizing Up the Endgame by James Howard Kuntsler at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

October 16: China’s Stunning Move To Dominate The World And The Real Reason Why China Is Buying So Much Gold by Stephen Leeb at KWN, read here. “But if you’re a gold investor, the exact method doesn’t matter. They all point to the same outcome: gold and all gold correlates from gold mines to silver are embarking upon an historic ride to the upside.”

October 16: Gerald Celente: Founder & Director of the Trends Research Institute, audio interview at KWN, listen here

October 15: Two Ways to Collapse, Suddenly or Slowly by James Rickards, read here. “Yet like the collapse of sterling a century ago, the decline of the dollar will not necessarily happen overnight. It will likely be a slow, steady process (at least in the beginning stages).”

October 15: The Gold Manipulators Will Be Punished by Egon von Greyerz at Gold Switzerland, read here. “Thus, last week’s takedown is absolutely nothing to worry about even if we see a bit more pressure. We have seen these manipulations time and time again in this bull market which so far has lasted 16 years and is likely to last at least another 5 years and maybe a lot longer.”

October 15: How to Handle a Hero by Eric Peters, read here. Stopped by an Armed Government Worker,  Eric Peters on what one young hero did.

October 15: Anti-Catholics & Elitist Bigots by Patrick J. Buchanan, read here.

October 15: Russian Mafia money laundering, the Clinton Foundation and John Podesta by Roger Stone, read here.

October 15: John Embry audio interview at KWN,  listen here. John Embry, billionaire Eric Sprott’s Business Partner Warns The Global Monetary System Is Breathing Its Last Breaths

October 14: A Clinton Win Means an Expanded War in Syria by Daniel Larison at The American Conservative, read here.

October 14: Liberals and the American Idiocracy By Donald Jeffries, read here.

October 13: Hillary Clinton, Authoritarian “Liberal” By Donald Jeffries, read here. There really is only one choice.  As Trump himself said in one of his finer moments; “This is a rigged system, and you can’t fix it by trusting those who rigged it.”

October 13: The Imperial President’s Toolbox of Terror: A Dictatorship Waiting to Happen by John W. Whitehead, read here.
Comment: Barring some miracle, it is clear that Trump blew it! The thought of Hillary Clinton now acquiring the powers of the imperial presidency, as documented in this article,  should scare the bejesus out of any thinking American. Hillary is the true believer, she is out to save the world, and she does not care how many of us she kills in the process!  Doug Casey and others have made the case for internationalizing your assets as well as your ass; I suspect that if you are able, now would be a good time to get the “flock out of Dodge”. NTM

October 12: The Second Debate: Oh, Those Dastardly Russians!
Martha Raddatz cheers head-chopping Syrian rebels, Trump dissents by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.

October 12: John Hathaway Says We Now Have Entered A Momentous Period For Gold at King World News, read here. “Gold is extremely under-owned, and therefore likely to react dynamically to even modest inflows. Despite strong (year-to-date) gains, we believe that the current alignment of political and economic factors is unusually compelling. In our view, substantial gains lie ahead.”

October 12: Why Billionaires Are Buying Gold And where to store it anonymously, out of hares way from the US government. By Mark Nestmann, read here.

October 11: Gold: Deflation Ends And Inflation Begins by Stewart Thompson, read here.

October 11: A World On The Edge Of The Abyss by Art Cashin at KWN, read here.

October 10: The Saudis, Hillary, and the Destruction of Yemen
US support enables mass murder by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read  here.
“The game is not only rigged, as Trump points out – it’s murderous.”

October 10: ALERT: China Now Possesses Up To A Shocking 12,000 Tonnes Of Gold And Last Week’s Takedown Was The Desperate BIS by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here. “last week’s takedown is absolutely nothing to worry about even if we see a bit more pressure. We have seen these manipulations time and time again in this bull market, which so far has lasted 16 years and is likely to last at least another 5 years and possibly a lot longer.”

October 10: The Market’s Set to Be Trumped! by David Stockman at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

October 6: Don’t Get Caught in the U.S-China Crossfire – Game of Thrones Part II by Nomi Prins, read here.

October 6: Andrew Maguire – This Gold Takedown Charade Is About To Backfire Violently On Western Central Banks at KWN, read here.

October 6: Collectibles Skyrocketing As Gold & Silver Smash Continues But Bull Case For Gold Gets Stronger by Peter Boockvar at KWN, read here.

October 6: China’s Hidden Plan to Accumulate Gold by James Rickards, read here. “It (gold) will go higher when all central banks, China’s and the U.S.’ included, confront the next global liquidity crisis, worse than the one in 2008, and individual citizens stampede into gold to preserve wealth in a world that has lost confidence in all central banks.
When that happens, physical gold may not be available at all. The time to build your personal gold reserve is now.”

October 6: Don’t Get Caught in the U.S-China Crossfire – Game of Thrones Part I by Nomi Prins, read here.

October 5: All the Ways You Can Comply and Still Die During An Encounter with Police by John W. Whitehead, read here.

October 5: Three must read articles at King World News concerning yesterdays smash down or manipulation of the gold and silver markets, read here, here and here. Don’t you just love it when the government fucks you over, and you don’t even get  dinner and a movie first!

October 4: The Six Presidents Causing U.S. Bankruptcy by Egon von Greyerz, read here. “What is important to remember is that gold and silver is money and instant liquidity. Throughout history, in every country where there has been a serious financial crisis, gold and silver have always functioned as money or barter. And at today’s basement-bargain price of $1,272 per ounce, there is no better insurance to own.”

October 4: James Turk – Deutsche Bank Failure To Usher In The Next Great Depression at King World News, read here. “So the probabilities suggest gold will be higher again this fourth quarter, concluding what will be a solid year for the precious metals.”

October 3: Beware: Russia’s Hoarding Gold, Not Just Nukes by Byron King at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

October 3: The Most Dangerous Man in America? By Michael Covell at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

October 3: Worldwide Collapse And Prices For Gold & Silver That Are Unimaginable Today by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.
“Physical gold and silver will continue to reflect the destruction of paper money and also act as the best wealth protection available. We are likely to see price levels for gold and silver that are unimaginable today.”

October 2: Deutsche Bank Nears Collapse by James Rickards, read here.

October 2: Hillary, Trump and the “Deep State” by Michael Covel at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

October 2: Owning Physical Gold Will Protect Your Wealth Against Disingenuous Acts Of Central Banks at The Daily Coin, read here. “If you’ve got gold, you’ve got money. If you don’t have gold, you’ve got a problem.”

October 2: Silver Way Undervalued by Adam Hamilton at Silver Seek, read here.

October 2: The US is your know-it-all friend who should just keep his mouth shut by Stephen Kinzer at Boston Globe, read here.

October 2:  Pierre Lassonde  audio interview at KWN, listen here. Legend Pierre Lassonde Put $10 Million Into Mining Stocks This Week

October 2: WARNING: Protect Yourself As China Seizes Control Of The Internet by Stephen Leeb at KWN, read here. “I once again remind all of you that for the sake of yourselves and loved ones, buy gold. The times are changing, and you want to be in the forefront and not a bag holder.”

September 30: David Stockman On “Wall Street Week”: Get Out of Harms’ Way Now—–The Casino Is Heading For A Crash   by Fox Business, video podcast with David Stockman, watch here.

September 30: Gold vs. Paper: The Only Debate That Matters by Peter Schiff at Euro Pacific Capital, read here.

September 30: WARNING: We Are Going To Be Living In An Incredibly Chaotic World by Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, at KWN, read here.

September 30: Libertarianism and War
Rothbard’s rule: Foreign policy comes first by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
“The simple fact of the matter is that we cannot be a republic and an empire: we cannot have a globe-spanning network of bases, dozens of tripwires planted across every continent, a military budget that exceeds those of the seven biggest spenders put together and still remain faithful to the constitutional vision of imited government handed down to us by the Founders. It is one or the other – and the time for choosing is at hand.”

September 28: Gerald Celente – What Is Happening In The Real World Is Extremely Distressing at KWN, read here.

September 28: The Debate: Trump’s Three Points for Peace
Hillary’s globaloney vs. Trump’s “America First” by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
“This debate defined the parameters of the election, and showed us the stakes. On one side is a somewhat inconsistent yet sincere advocate of a fundamental change in our foreign policy of global intervention. Trump’s chief concern is with “making America great again” – within its own borders. Hillary Clinton wants more of the same old imperialistic nonsense that has cost us so much and driven us to the brink of bankruptcy. She wants to make the American empire great again – pushing into Syria, confronting the Russians, and letting our “allies” drain us of our life’s blood.
Which road will Americans choose?”

September 27: The Donald Nailed It: “We Are In A Big Fat Ugly Bubble” by David Stockman, read here.

September 27: Bill Bonner: This is why the middle class id dying at The Crux, read here.

September 27: Dangerous Bubbles In Plain Sight by David Stockman, read here.
“So here’s the danger. The denizens of the Eccles Building see no bubbles in a financial system that is rampant with asset inflation. It sees full-employment when the US economy has more labor slack than any time in modern history. And it keeps the Wall Street gamblers in free carry trade funding because it wants even more inflation than what is already ravagng the real incomes of Flyover America.
No wonder the Trump voters want to throw the bums out. It is none too soon.”

September 27: Gun Control Is Treason By L. Neil Smith, read here. I will have to admit the reason I linked to this article is so that I could refer to the following quote concerning Hillary Clinton.  “I have heard everything this brain-damaged, bloody-fingered collectivist harridan has to say on the subject of victim disarmament what seems like at least a hundred million times since I first regretfully became aware of her miserable existence back in the 1990s. To the best of my ability, I cannot remember ever hearing her (or her disgusting specimen of a husband or their ill-spawned daughter) utter anything that even remotely resembled the truth.
It makes me wonder whether pathological lying is genetic.”

September 27: Why the Deep State Is Dumping Hillary by Charles Hugh Smith, read here.

September 26: 10 Economic Facts To Know Before You Watch The Debate by Craig Wilson at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

September 26: The Most Dangerous Time Ever – World Financial System Now At The Edge Of A Black Hole by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.
“What most people don’t realize is that gold also does very well in deflationary times. If we get the deflationary implosion that I have discussed above, there will be no financial system for a while and gold will be one of the few methods of payments. This is why gold will also be excellent protection in a deflationary period, although the nominal value will be much lower than in a hyperinflationary period.
Thus, with the current unprecedented risk in the financial system and the world economy, physical gold, and some silver, will be the best insurance and protection that anyone can hold.”

September 26: Opinion: Investing in gold is the best ‘speculative’ bet there is today by Jeff Reeves at Market Watch, read here.
Comment:  Interesting article, however Jeff Reeves is the victim of a common misconception. Gold is not an investment; it is insurance, a hedge against inflation, monetary debasement and economic chaos. If you are looking for precious metals investments, gold and silver mining stocks are the place to be. They are leveraged to the gold and silver price, the returns are spectacular. In the recent gold and silver rally, a 3-4% rise in the metals resulted in 10-12% move in some mining stocks. Gold and silver mining stocks are very volatile, this is high-risk speculating, buyer beware. NTM

September 25: Rob Arnott audio interview at KWN, listen here. Advice and commentary on how to invest and position yourself for the coming economic collapse.

September 25: Protecting Yourself From Worldwide Inflation by James Rickards, read here. “The time to get your physical gold is now.”

September 23: UN Report: The Looming Smash-Up of the World’s Economy by Gary North, read here.

September 23: The Elite Solution: Three New Ways To Get Inflation by James Rickards, read here.

September 23: Duck And Run—-The Robot Doth Blather by David Stockman, read here.
“Donald Trump recently suggested that Janet Yellen should be “ashamed of herself” for playing politics with the Fed’s printing presses.
He was too kind. She should be fired for gross incompetence and for inflating a hideous financial bubble that will bring untold ruin when it finally implodes.”