Welcome To Rio Verde Trading

The stock market has often been compared to a casino and stock trading to gambling. There is even a book called Trade Like A Bookie, by David Caplan. The big difference between trading and gambling is that a stock trader has much better control of risk than does a gambler. In the game of Black Jack or 21 you pretty much have to play every hand. You can’t stand to one side, count cards, and when the count is in your favor step in and play, the casino would soon ask you to leave. But that is exactly what I do with my trading system. I stand to one side, count cards-that is observe the market action, and when the count or market is in my favor I step up and make a trade. From back testing my trading strategy, the probability of a profit is 80-90%. In actual trading this trading strategy has been very consistent with 74% profitable trades. Hence the name of my trading manual The 74% Solution. By waiting until the market gives me an 80-90% probability of a profitable trade my risk is reduced considerably. Gambling this is not.
Most of the time I am out of the market, watching and waiting for the right opportunity. Originally I  used this system as a stand alone trading strategy. Being out of the market most of the time, I soon realized I could maximize the use of my capital by using a part of my capital to invest in dividend paying value stocks. This gave me three streams of potential income; first, capital appreciation from the stocks I owned, second, dividend income from the stocks I owned and thirdly, trading income from the 74% solution system. To learn more go here.



NEWS and VEWS: At Rio Verde Trading

July 21: Golden Yuan Cometh? Aussie Exports Say Watch out – Analysis By Soren K.Group at Market Slant, read here.

July 21: Trump Ends Syrian Regime Change Campaign
Neocons and liberals howl by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
Finally a faint glimmer of common sense in the Trump administration, now if the Donald would just keep his mouth shut, and close his twitter account things would improve for him and the country immensely. Also it wouldn’t hurt to turn the FBI loose on the real criminals in Washington, DC, starting with Bill and Hillary Clinton; John McCain’s days are numbered, happy days are here again.  NTM

July 21: Is Iran in Our Gun Sights Now? by Patrick J. Buchanan at Antiwar.com, read here.

July 20: Why the Elite Do Not Want You to Own Silver and Gold (Video) at The Daily Coin, watch here.

July 20: Will This Gold Setup Be The Biggest Surprise Of The Summer Of 2017? By Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, Incrementum AG Liechtenstein at KWN, read here.

]July 20: Paul Craig Roberts: The Matrix Of Lies – Russia Needs To Wake Up Or The World Will Be Destroyed by Paul Craig Roberts at KWN, read here.

July 20: Better Late Than Never! McCain Has Brain Cancer, 14 More Months to Go!
Brain cancer diagnosed with brain cancer! At Russia Insider, read here.
I am reminded of the German word  “Schadenfruede” delight in another’s misfortune; how sweet it is. McCain’s loss is Americas gain! It is not that I take pleasure in someone’s suffering, I have no interest in any one suffering, although McCain is responsible for a lot of suffering in the world. It is that the reign of terror that this monster and war criminal has unleashed on America and the world, is finally coming to an end, and none too soon either.  NTM

July 20: Is This the Beginning of the End for John McCain?
Is McCain’s influence in Washington waning? By Tom Luongo at Russia Insider, read here.

July 20: With New D.C. Policy Group, Dems Continue to Rehabilitate and Unify With Bush-Era Neocons by Glenn Greanwald at The Intercept, read here.

July 20: ALERT: 44-Year Market Veteran Says Retail Panic Selling Now Taking Place In Gold & Silver Markets! By Bill Haynes, founder of CMI Gold & Silver, one of the largest metals dealers in the United States at KWN, read here.

July 19: The Imperial City’s Fiscal Waterloo by David Stockman at The Daily Reckoning, read here.  “As all school boys know, the original Waterloo decisively changed the course of history.  So will this one

July 19: Take Note: Gold and Silver are NOT an Investment! excerpts from an article written by H. Pelham at munKNEE.com, read here.
“You don’t need good luck with your savings. You only need good currency…[and that means owning gold and silver,] the most “solid” form of money you can possess!”

July 19: The Fed Has Hit the ‘Pause’ Button by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.
“Tight money, a weak economy, and a stock market bubble is a classic recipe for a stock market crash. It’s time for investors to go into a defensive crouch by selling stocks and reallocating assets to cash, Treasury notes, gold and gold mining shares.
In particular, gold will be the big winner when the Fed suddenly realizes its blunder and has to pivot quickly to ease, probably by late summer. The time to position in gold is right now.”

July 19: The ‘Foreign Meddling’ Double-Standard
Latest anti-Trump group is funded by foreign governments by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.

July 19: Iran’s Nuclear Deal a Battleground Between Trump and His Cabinet
Trump Placed ‘Conditions’ on Recertifying Iran Deal by Jason Ditz at Antiwar.com, read here.  This has Israel and Jared Kushner, but I repeat myself, written all over it; Is Trump really this stupid?

July 18: Paul Craig Roberts – David Stockman Did Not Listen And Propaganda Has Prevailed at KWN, read here.
“The Supply-Side policy was a tremendous success. The US economy has not experienced worsening “Phillips curve” trade offs between inflation and employment since the Reagan economic program went into effect. Stagflation is a problem of the past until new policy errors revive it.”

July 18: How Governments Can Kill Cash by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

July 17: On Nationalism By Linh Dinh at LewRockwell.com, read here.
“Nationalism is simply the love of one’s language, culture, history and heritage, one’s very identity in short, but as wielded by an empire, nationalism becomes a murderous tool to violate one nation after another. The American empire is destroying the American nation.”

July 17: Here’s Why You Should Buy Gold Now by Matt Badiali Editor, Real Wealth Strategist, read here.
“owning some amount of gold is critical for every investor. It’s insurance against inflation. It doesn’t have to be bars or coins either. Jewelry makes a great investment … and it looks nice too.”

July 17: Peak Bull: Fake Economy, and Fake News by David Stockman at The Daily Reckoning, read here.
“Our overall economy has now reached a point of peak debt. The peak bull has now arrived and it is utterly unsafe to be in the casino.”

July 17: Space Cadets and Sex Changes: Our “Defense” Budget Is a Bad Joke
The military-industrial complex wins – and we lose, by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
“We are living under a President who proclaims “America First,” and yet we have a “defense” budget that does everything but defend this country’s borders from attack: our shipping is still as vulnerable as ever, and our borders aren’t any less porous than they were when Trump came to office. Oh, but don’t worry: our service members can change genders at will, and our Space Cadets will soon be bringing democracy to the red plains of Mars.”

July 15: THIS IS TERRIFYING: Will All Of Your Money Be Wiped Out In The Blink Of An Eye? By Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.
“So what is the best recipe for protecting against the biggest risk in world economic history? Hard assets held directly by the investor reduces the risk. This can be anything from property, farmland, forest or mineral assets. For most people it is impractical to hold these types of assets. Instead, the perfect asset to protect against the risks in the financial system is of course physical gold or silver stored safely outside the system and preferably outside your country of residence.”

July 15: Throw In The Towel On Paper, Not Gold: Doug Casey – PART 1/3 video podcast at Kitco News, watch here.

July 15: Rob Arnott: Chairman & Chief Executive Officer of Research Affiliates; Legend Who Helps Oversee $188 Billion Warns Central Banks Will Prevent Deflation. Audio interview at KWN, listen here.

July 14: Tucker Carlson, Neocon Slayer
He scores two takedowns in two days by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
“As the new cold war envelopes the country, wrapping us in its icy embrace and freezing all rational discussion of foreign policy, a few people stand out as brave exceptions to the groupthinking mass of the chattering classes: among the most visible and articulate are Tucker Carlson, Glenn Greenwald, journalist Michael Tracey, Prof. Stephen Cohen, and of course our own Ron Paul. I tip my hat to them, in gratitude and admiration, for they represent the one thing we need right now: hope. The hope that this madness will pass, that we’ll beat back this latest War Party offensive, and enjoy a return to what passes these days for normalcy.”

July 14: US Plan to Weaken Iran Has Completely Backfired: Here’s Why By Darius Shahtahmasebi at LewRockwell.com, read here. “it’s time for a new strategy altogether – one that doesn’t involve warmongering and geostrategic games that only prolong the suffering of innocent people. You can only try the same failed strategy so many times before a cognitive revolution becomes imperative.”

July 14: Russia Baiters and Putin Haters By Patrick J. Buchanan at LewRockwell.com, read here.

July 13: Gold And Silver Prices: Four Interesting Developments by SRSrocco at Gold-Eagle.com, read here.

July 13: Silver Fundamentals Vs. The Base Metal Bubble Part ll-Silver Undervalued Against Everything Now!  by Andrew Hoffman at Miles Franklin, read here.

July 13:Trump’s Ultimatum with China  by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here. “Increasing your cash components and gold allocations for safe storage will allow you to be protected for the future.”

July 12: Ever more official lies from the US government by Paul Craig Roberts, read here.

July 12: Janet Yellen: False Prophet of Prosperity By Ron Paul at LewRockwell.com, read here.

July 11: Donald Trump’s Very Own Big, Fat, Ugly Bubble by David Stockman at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

July 11: Trump Cannot Improve Relations With Russia When Trump’s Government and the US Media Oppose Improved Relations By Paul Craig Roberts at LewRockwell.com, read here.
“Tillerson, a disgrace, said that Putin’s refusal to admit that Putin elected Trump by interfering in the US election “stands as an obstacle to our ability to improve the relationship between the US and Russia and it needs to be addressed in terms of how we assure the American people that interference into our elections will not occur by Russia or anyone else.” Does that include Israel? Probably not! NTM