Welcome To Rio Verde Trading

The stock market has often been compared to a casino and stock trading to gambling. There is even a book called Trade Like A Bookie, by David Caplan. The big difference between trading and gambling is that a stock trader has much better control of risk than does a gambler. In the game of Black Jack or 21 you pretty much have to play every hand. You can’t stand to one side, count cards, and when the count is in your favor step in and play, the casino would soon ask you to leave. But that is exactly what I do with my trading system. I stand to one side, count cards-that is observe the market action, and when the count or market is in my favor I step up and make a trade. From back testing my trading strategy, the probability of a profit is 80-90%. In actual trading this trading strategy has been very consistent with 74% profitable trades. Hence the name of my trading manual The 74% Solution. By waiting until the market gives me an 80-90% probability of a profitable trade my risk is reduced considerably. Gambling this is not.
Most of the time I am out of the market, watching and waiting for the right opportunity. Originally I  used this system as a stand alone trading strategy. Being out of the market most of the time, I soon realized I could maximize the use of my capital by using a part of my capital to invest in dividend paying value stocks. This gave me three streams of potential income; first, capital appreciation from the stocks I owned, second, dividend income from the stocks I owned and thirdly, trading income from the 74% solution system. To learn more go here.



NEWS and VEWS: At Rio Verde Trading

“I think that when the United States felt they were at the forefront of the so-called civilized world and when the Soviet Union collapsed, they were under the illusion that the United States was capable of everything and they could act with impunity. And that’s always a trap, because in this situation, a person and a country begins to commit mistakes. There is no need to analyze the situation. No need to think about the consequences. No need to economize. And the country becomes inefficient and one mistake follows another. And I think that’s the trap the United States has found itself in.”  Vladimir Putin

October 18: Multi-Billionaire Hugo Salinas Price On The Great Con, The Deterioration Of Society And Silver at KWN, read here.

October 18: The American Tradition is Anti-War By Brion McClanahan at LewRockwell.com, read here. So why is America continuously at war not supported by the people? Follow the money! ntm

October 18: Nixon’s Children
“Tell Me How This Ends?” David Petraeus Finally Answers His Own Question by Tom Engelhardt at Antiwar.com, read here.

October 18: Trump Is the Only One Losing Out by Refusing to Certify the Iran Deal by Patrick Cockburn at The Unz Review, read here. “The Iranians are sensibly saying very little, presumably calculating that nothing they do will be quite so damaging to US interests as what Trump is doing. The true destabiliser in the Middle East is not Iran but Trump himself.”
knee deep in the Big Muddy,
But the big fool said to push on.”  Pete Seeger  (the big fool being Donald Trump, incase you missed the symbolism)

October 18: A Look At The Cocaine High And How The Great Unraveling Will Impact Gold, Silver And The Mining Shares at King World News, read here.

October 17: The Deep Unfairness of America’s All-Volunteer Force By Dennis Laich and Lawrence Wilkerson at The American Conservative, read here.
“Today, more than 300 million Americans lay claim to rights, liberties, and security that not a single one of them is obligated to protect and defend. Apparently, only 1 percent of the population feels that obligation. That 1 percent is bleeding and dying for the other 99 percent.” This quote from the article is unmitigated hogwash! First of all the rights, liberties and security of the American people is not under attack except as blowback from our governments mucking around in the affairs of countries that are none of our business. The one percent in the military is not bleeding and dying for our liberty but for an empire we do not want ant for the corporate interests war profiteers! ntm

October 17: Gold: Higher Highs and Lower Lows by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

October 17:  China’s New Oil Exchange Where Countries Will Be Able To Take Gold As Payment Plus A Worldwide Paradigm Shift By John Curran, former partner and head of commodities at Caxton Associates at KWN, read here.                                 I think it is interesting that none of this news concerning the emergence of a gold backed yuan is even hinted at in the main stream media. Because this is the end of the American empire as we know it. This is why Trump’s plans to intimate and control Iran will fail, Iran will no longer need US dollars or direct trade with the US, they can get everything they want or need from Russia, China and Western Europe and can tell the US to go to hell. The only option for the US to try to preserve it’s empire is military intervention, and we know how well that has worked in Viet Nam, Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria… Our peace, prosperity and security is not dependent on being an empire, and if we do not change and adapt to the new reality we will pay a tremendous price. Russia and China go around the world building bridges, the US goes around the world blowing up bridges, who do you think is winning? Even if the powers that be in the US don’t get it or are unwilling to admit was is happening; we as individuals can take action to protect our selves, owning gold and silver out side the banking system and out side the country beyond the reach of the government  is something we all can do for our own protection and economic survival. ntm

October 16: Trump’s Iran Plan Faces Major Resistance in Congress
Senate Dems Seen Likely to Block Changes to Deal; by Jason Ditz at Antiwar.com, read here.  Is it possible that congress will collectively grow a pair and use it’s constitutional powers and obligations to rein in an out of control president? One can only hope. There is always impeachment! ntm

October 16: DON’T HOLD YOUR GOLD IN A SWISS BANK
By Egon von Greyerz at Gold Switzerland, read here. “Don’t hold gold in a Swiss Bank or in any bank in any country.”

October 16: Greyerz – Explosive Setup In Silver As Debt Binge World Faces Two Grim Alternatives by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.                                       “To avoid total wealth destruction, buy insurance in the form of physical gold and silver while there is still time. When history’s biggest Ponzi scheme collapses, it will probably be impossible to get hold of physical gold and silver at any price.”

October 15: Weinstein scandal leaves a trail of hypocrisy by Jonah Goldberg at MSN News, read here. My gosh, I do not know whether to laugh or cry at this article. For every woman now complaining and accusing Weinstein for sexual exploitation and or harassment I bet there are one hundred woman who gladly cooperated if they thought they would benefit. There is a reason prostitution is called the world’s oldest profession. Who is exploiting whom? There are plenty of women willing to use there sexuality to exploit stupid gullible men. Just like there are plenty on men willing to use their power and money to seduce women. And they are all wrong, man or woman, and guilty as sin! ntm

October 15: The Deep State’s Bogus ‘Iranian Threat’ by David Stockman at Antiwar.com, read here. This is the must read article of the week, no truer words were ever put to pen and paper! As I have stated numerous times, Iran is not our enemy, Israel is not our friend. ntm

October 15: Is Trump the Heir to Reagan? By Patrick J. Buchanan at LewRockwell.com, read here. The short answer to Buchanan’s question, NO! The long answer; Trump is a loud mouth fool, he has no concept of diplomacy, Trump is the ultimate school yard bully. Trump is more like Nixon, when Trump says “the only opinion that counts is mine” that is eerily reminiscent of Nixon saying “when the president does it, it is legal”. Trump is heir to Nixon and may suffer the same fate? ntm

October 14: EU, UN Defend Iran Deal After Trump Speech
Iran President Insists Nation Will Stay Compliant With Pact; by Jason Ditz at LewRockwell.com, read here. Donald Trump, the octo moron is shooting himself in the foot as he isolates himself and America from the rest of the world. I read an interesting account on the debate in the White House concerning decertification of the Iran deal. At the end of the debate Trump arrogantly replied that his opinion was the only one that counted.  Excuse me little Donald, you are not the fuhrer, you answer to congress, you answer to the people, you answer to the international community. Fortunately cooler heads are in charge in Iran and Europe. The days when America could dictate international policy are over. Iran does not need our money, they can sell all the oil they have to China, and they don’t need dollars to do it. China’s gold backed yuan  will free Iran and the rest of the world from dependence on the dollar and they will tell the U.S. to go to hell. The U.S. global empire is falling apart, and good riddance. Is is time for congress to get off their fat asses and reign in the idiot in the White House and truly once and for all put America First! Iran is not our enemy, Israel is not our friend! Fortunately the rest of the world has a lot more common sense, I predict they will just ignore little Donald and if he thinks America can unilaterally start a war with Iran, he is in for a big surprise. ntm

October 14: Michael Belkin: Founder, Financial Market Strategist & Author of The Belkin Report; This is the Man Who Advises Biggest Money On The Planet Says Gold And Silver Set To Skyrocket; audio interview, listen here.

October 13: Trump Decertifies Iran Deal, Vows New Sanctions
President Tries to Link Iran to 9/11 Attackers, by Jason Ditz at Antiwar.com, read here. Dear Donald Trump, if you really really tried do you think you could get your head up you ass any farther than it already is?
Another win for Israel another loss for the US!

October 14: Iran Must Be Destroyed By Eric Margolis at LewRockwell.com, read here. “If the Iran nuclear deal is abrogated, America will have shot itself in the foot and shown the world it has fallen under the control of special interests for whom America’s national interests do not come first.  Europe, already disgusted by the Trump carnival in Washington and its religious supporters, will pull further away from the US and closer to Russia and China.  Who would trust America’s word after deal-break Trump?”

October 13: Trump’s horrifying Iran deal gambit by Joe Cirincione at Daily News, read here.

October 13: The House of Saud bows to the House of Putin
Saudi Arabia pivots to Russia, the new sheriff in town, by Pepe Escobar at Asia Times, read here. As Russia and China build bridges across the world the US is still bombing bridges, as it careens from one military confrontation to another and threatens all out war with Iran and Korea, both of which are no threat to the United States. And then there’s octo moronic Trump with his head firmly up his ass! Is there anybody or any country that Trump hasn’t pissed off yet? If not I am sure he will get around to it by the end of his term. ntm

October 13: Fed Officials Frantically Play Dumb to the Coming Inflationary Storm    By Graham Summers at Gold Seek, read here. “BIG INFLATION is the THE BIG MONEY trend today. And smart investors will use it to generate literal fortunes.”           In others words buy gold. ntm

October 12: Power Corrupts: A Culture of Compliance Breeds Despots and Predators By John W. Whitehead of The Rutherford Institute at LewRockwell.com, read here. This is the must read article for the day, read it and weep, for our former Republic, will we ever get it back? ntm

October 11: THE UNKNOWN FUNDAMENTAL: This Will Push The Silver Price Up Much Higher by Steve St. Angelo at The Daily Coin, read here. This article is pure hogwash or bull spit if you prefer. The coming catalyst for higher silver and gold prices is when the bullion banks in cahoots with central banks are no longer able to manipulate the precious metals prices! That day is coming soon, due in part to the Shanghai gold and silver exchange and China’s plan to buy oil with yuan backed by gold. As China finalizes their gold backed yuan program precious metals, gold and silver will go ballistic! ntm  Also watch this video Gold Price Manipulation Happening Now More Than Ever? – Frank Holmes  here.

October 11: Four Major Catalysts for Gold by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here. “The time to move into gold is now before it resumes its upward climb.”

October 11: Trump is Pulling a Libya on Iran
Muammar Qaddafi learned the hard way how the U.S. reneges on deals. By Robert W. Merry at The American Conservative, read here.

October 11: Stop the Electric Car Insanity By Jerry Reynolds at LewRockwell.com, read here. 
The author makes a valid point, however he is barking up the wrong tree. The correct tree is stop the self driving car insanity. The preposterous idea of making a self driving car for the masses is beyond insane! As a professional pilot I have a very different perspective, we have had self driving airplanes for decades, called autopilots. Auto pilots were never intended to replace pilots, they were to reduce a pilots work load so the pilot could concentrate on more difficult matters during high work load times such as maneuvering for a landing under difficult instrument flying conditions. Aviation has the best auto pilots you could imagine even making possible auto landings in zero zero conditions. That is zero visibility, zero cloud ceiling. But never was the auto pilot intended to replace the real pilot. The pilot was always there to manage the whole process and to take over if the auto pilot failed. A fully automatic landing can only be done if the pilot is certified for auto landing, if the airplane and onboard electronics are certified for auto landings and if the airport and ground based navigation aids are certified for automatic landings and further more this is all done under a very controlled environment with air traffic control providing traffic separation from other aircraft. So the idea that joe six pack or some numbskull idiot can jump into a car and have that car take drive him around by itself through a very complex and chaotic urban environment with cars, pedestrian, bicycles whizzing around in a very complex  set of streets with one way streets, traffic lights, four way stops and traffic circles, and do it safely is patently insane. This unbelievable stupidity of self driving cars will only come to an end as the accidents and law suites accumulate against the car companies. Remember just a few years ago all the accidents from cars with stuck accelerators? And now you want these same car  companies to build us self driving cars. This is going to be a huge gift to the legal profession and the funeral home business! People will die! ntm

October 10: The Market’s Got It Wrong by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here. “As market probabilities catch up with reality, the dollar will sink, the euro and gold will rally, and interest rates will resume their long downward slide.”

October 9: One Of The Greats Just Exposed Why The Price Of Silver Will Surge Above $100 In 27 Months! by Stephen Leeb at KWN, read here.                             “The bottom line: Independently of anything that happens with gold, silver will be in a roaring bull market of its own. Silver owners will experience a pathway to riches in coming years. In the past, I’ve targeted silver as at least a $100 metal, and my best projection now is that by 2020, the $100 target will look very conservative.”

October 9: Trump: Rhetoric vs. Reality
Don’t mistake the bluster for policy. By Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here. Interesting article, but is this anyway to run a country? Reagan did not hesitate to call Russia the evil empire, but he also did not hesitate to talk to Gorbachev; I see not such diplomacy or common sense on the horizon with octo moronic Trump? ntm

October 9: MAJOR ALERT: Greyerz Warns Swiss Bank Says It Will No Longer Hand Over Clients’ Physical Gold by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.           “The shock that will hit investors in stocks, bonds and property in the next few years will be totally devastating. It is sad that so few understand that there is insurance available that will totally protect them from this shock. There just is no better insurance against the coming calamities than physical gold.”