Welcome To Rio Verde Trading

The stock market has often been compared to a casino and stock trading to gambling. There is even a book called Trade Like A Bookie, by David Caplan. The big difference between trading and gambling is that a stock trader has much better control of risk than does a gambler. In the game of Black Jack or 21 you pretty much have to play every hand. You can’t stand to one side, count cards, and when the count is in your favor step in and play, the casino would soon ask you to leave. But that is exactly what I do with my trading system. I stand to one side, count cards-that is observe the market action, and when the count or market is in my favor I step up and make a trade. From back testing my trading strategy, the probability of a profit is 80-90%. In actual trading this trading strategy has been very consistent with 74% profitable trades. Hence the name of my trading manual The 74% Solution. By waiting until the market gives me an 80-90% probability of a profitable trade my risk is reduced considerably. Gambling this is not. read

Most of the time I am out of the market, watching and waiting for the right opportunity. Originally I  used this system as a stand alone trading strategy. Being out of the market most of the time, I soon realized I could maximize the use of my capital by using a part of my capital to invest in dividend paying value stocks. This gave me three streams of potential income; first, capital appreciation from the stocks I owned, second, dividend income from the stocks I owned and thirdly, trading income from the 74% solution system. To learn more go here.



NEWS and VEWS: At Rio Verde Trading

September 25: Rob Arnott audio interview at KWN, listen here. Advice and commentary on how to invest and position yourself for the coming economic collapse.

September 25: Protecting Yourself From Worldwide Inflation by James Rickards, read here. “The time to get your physical gold is now.”

September 23: UN Report: The Looming Smash-Up of the World’s Economy by Gary North, read here.

September 23: The Elite Solution: Three New Ways To Get Inflation by James Rickards, read here.

September 23: Duck And Run—-The Robot Doth Blather by David Stockman, read here.
“Donald Trump recently suggested that Janet Yellen should be “ashamed of herself” for playing politics with the Fed’s printing presses.
He was too kind. She should be fired for gross incompetence and for inflating a hideous financial bubble that will bring untold ruin when it finally implodes.”

September 23: The Crazy Years
They’re here by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.

September 23: “I want a lawyer” A Law Professor Explains Why You Should Never Talk to Police by Harry Cheadle, read here.

September 18: Egon von Greyerz audio interview at KWN, listen here. “Greyerz – The Roadmap To A Staggering $10,000 Gold And $1,000 Silver”

September 17: Nomi Prins audio interview at KWN, listen here. “China Does Not Want To See A Global Stock Market Crash – Angry At Western ‘Criminal Institutions’”

September 16: Stockman: It’s The Fed, Stupid! David Stockman hits the nail on the head once again; must see video clip at The Daily Reckoning, watch here.

September 13: James Turk – How To Survive The Coming Financial Storm at KWN, read here. “Everyone needs physical gold and silver to get them through the coming financial storm.”

September 13: The Only Way to Protect Your Wealth – Hold it in Physical Gold and Silver  Commodity Trade Mantra, read here.

September 13: A Homerun For The Donald—-Attack The Fed’s War On Savers, Workers And The Unborn (Taxpayers)  by David Stockman, read here.
“the Fed is waging an insensible and outrageous war on savers, workers and future taxpayers—even as it pleasures the 1% with fantastic financial windfalls from the Wall Street casino.”

September 13: The Debt Riddle That Elites Are Trying To Solve by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

September 11: Gerald Celente, audio interview at KWN, listen here. ALERT: Celente Warns This Is About To Rock Global Financial Markets And Gold

September 11: Four September Indicators that Could Spell Disaster by Craig Wilson at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

September 10: Another great sign for gold and silver prices… From Teeka Tiwari, Editor, The Palm Beach Letter: at The Crux, read here.

September 10: Is the Tide Going Out on Hillary? Ha ha. Ho ho. Article by Pat Buchanan at LewRockwell.com, read here..

September 10: Negative Rates Will Kill Growth by Peter Schiff, read here.

September 9: Darwin Unhinged: The Bugs in Evolution by Fred Reed at LewRockwell.com, read here. No intelligent person could possibly believe in evolution after reading this article!   “There is Something Else involved. I do not know what.”

September 9: Revolution No Until you refuse your consent to be ruled, says Jack Perry, at LewRockwell.com, read here.
“What the State fears is being ignored. That is one thing tanks cannot defeat. Of course, one cannot ignore the State when they tax you. Yes, this is so. But what if you were to define value to what is not the government’s currency? Yes, create an Underground Economy with its own barter system or precious metal buy-and-sell method. This is a topic for another day. But the way to stop the government is to first excise it from your own mind. That must come first.”

September 7: All Time Highs and Lows … and the Great Collapse by Gary Christensen at The Deviant Investor, read here.
“Switch to gold and silver if you are intellectually honest about the impossibility of repayment of global sovereign debt without hyperinflation, while realizing that central banks and governments believe it is necessary to further increase sovereign debt to even more insane levels.”

September 7: It Won’t Be Long Now—-The End Game Of Central Banking Is Nigh by David Stockman, read here.
“The impending global deflation and recession will prove that 93 months of ZIRP and $3.5 trillion of QE have been a complete failure. But this insufferable Keynesian snake oil peddler has the gall to claim a roaring success moments before the greatest monetary catastrophe in recorded history begins its inexorable implosion.

The end game of Keynesian central banking is indeed nigh. The outright lunacy of Draghi, Kuroda and Fischer are more than ample warning.”

September 5: The World Is Hanging By A Thread, On A Frightening Road To Perdition by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.
“The best insurance against financial or economic risk are real assets such as gold and silver as long as they are held safely outside the financial system. Precious metals will reflect the unending destruction of paper money. Before the coming crisis is over, gold is likely to reach at least $10,000 in today’s money and silver $500. In hyperinflationary terms we could see multiples of these targets. So if gold reaches 100 trillion like in the Weimar Republic, that is only funny money. But compared to holding money in the bank or cash, the gain in the gold price becomes very real and will be actual life insurance. And at $1,300 per ounce, there is no better insurance to own.”

September 4: Gerald Celente Sees Worst Market Crash, New Military Conflict, and Gold Spike to $2,000/oz  Audio podcast, listen here.

September 4: The Alternative to Presidential Politics by Thomas DiLorenzo at LewRockwell.com, read here.
We Need Secession and Nullification Instead of presidential politics, says Tom DiLorenzo.

September 4: The Perfect Storm: Markets and Election 2016 by David Stockman, read here. “What’s going on is that the common people have figured out that the elites who are running the central banks, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the G20 and managing these tremendous bubbles arise from Wall Street and don’t know what they’re doing. They are setting the world up for a great fall. This has created much more uncertainty in the political environment than we’ve ever seen before.”

September 4: Is Janet Yellen in Bed With Hillary? By Michel Covell at The Daily Reckoning, read here.
“The Fix Is In
Look, Janet Yellen isn’t going to do anything to jeopardize a Clinton presidency.
They’re both card-carrying Deep Staters. They’re both liberals who served under Obama. They both dress the same: Mao chic. And most of all, Yellen wants to keep her job when her term expires in February 2018.”

September 3: My List Of The Ten Worst U.S. Presidents by Chuck Baldwin at LewRockwell.com, read here. This may be my only link for today, this pretty much says it all; read it and weep. God bless America, nobody else will!

September 2: As The World Economy Is Burning Central Bankers Are Clueless
By Egon von Greyerz, read here. “The risks in the financial system and world economy are now at an extreme and it is most likely that one of several of these risks will turn into serious problems for the world in the next few months.”

September 2: The Other Speech: Hillary the Hawk Spreads Her Wings
Did she threaten to attack Russia? by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
“If Hillary Clinton doesn’t scare you, then you aren’t paying attention.”

September 1: The Coming Gold Super-Spike by James Rickards at The Daily Reckoning, read here.

September 1: Prominent European Firm Issues A Nearly $60 Target For The Price Of Silver! By Ronald-Peter Stoeferle, Incrementum AG Liechtenstein at KWN, read here.

September 1: Currency Devaluation is no Accident, Save in Real Money: Gold and Silver at Commodity Trade Mantra, read here.

September 1: Keynes: The Crackpot Economist of ZIRP by Gary North, read here.

September 1: The Night That Is Upon Us and the Down of a New Era by Hugo Salinas Price, read here.
“In view of the great chaos that the whole world will endure when the collapse in the value of the gigantic debt that hangs over the world takes place, I cannot do otherwise that recommend to all, the formation of private savings in gold and silver coins, since those metals have always been, throughout history, the lifesavers of those who possessed them.”

September 1: Doug Casey: The U.S. Global RoboCop Is Going to Self-Destruct by Nick Giambruno at International Man, read here.

September 1: Deutsche Bank Calculates How Much Of The S&P’s Value Is Due To Central Banks By Tyler Durden  Zero Hedge at LewRockwell.com, read here.

August 31: The Campaign to Blame Putin for Everything
Who’s behind it? By Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here. “Greed and politics are pushing us to the brink of an all-out conflict with nuclear-armed Russia. It’s an old story, but true.”

August 31: Pierre Lassonde, $10,000 Gold, The BIS And A Desperate Gold Swap Dealer Short Position at King World News, read here.

August 31: Lying Hillary, Pinocchio and Pinchuk by Saint John Hunt at LewRockwell.com, read here.

August 31: Can Americans Overthrow The Evil That Rules Them? By Paul Craig Roberts at LewRockwell.com, read here. “Those who control us are not going to give up their control without a world war. In the United States, evil has seized power from the people, and evil will not give it back.”

August 30: “If This Does Not Disqualify Hillary For The Presidency, It’s Hard To Know What Will” by Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge, read here.

August 28: The New Power Elite Part II: The U.S. and China Escalate Energy War by Nomi Prins at The Daily Reckoning, read here. Part I can be read here.

August 28: The Stunning Roadmap To The Coming Global SDR Currency by Stephen Leeb at KWN, read here. “Gold is special for many reasons but mostly because it is the only thing in this world that is both money and wealth in a single package. The more you have of it, the better off you will be. It is the only sure ticket in today’s world.”

August 28: Democratic Pundits Downplay Serious Ethical Issues Raised by the Clinton Foundation by Lee Feng at The Intercept, read here.
Comment: If it looks like a duck, quacks like a duck, walks like a duck and smells like a duck; then it probably really is a lying, cheating, unethical Hillary Clinton! NTM

August 27: John Embry “This Is How People Are Making Fortunes In The Mining Shares” audio interview at KWN, listen here.

August 27: The Martyrdom of Mary Surratt Ritually murdered by the feds. Article by Jack Perry at LewRockwell.com, read here. “You think this can’t happen again? You think this can’t happen here? Wake up. It already has. It is happening now as we speak. Yes, we have learned from the mistake made with Mary Surratt. But all the wrong lessons were taken from it.”

August 26: The World Is About To Witness A Terrifying Mega-Bubble Collapse by Egon von Greyerz at KWN, read here.
“I regularly get emails from people who don’t have major assets to invest and wonder what they can do to protect themselves. Wealth protection is all relative. Most people can afford to spend at least say $40 per month to buy 1 gram (1/30 of an oz.). If you do this every month for a few years you will have built up a nice little nest egg as the gold price goes up many times from here. Thus there is no excuse not to save in gold even for people with less capital.”

August 26: Lots of Smoke Here, Hillary “Hillary Clinton says there is no fire. But something is causing all that smoke.” By Patrick J. Buchanan at LewRockwell.com, read here.  If you love corruption, ethics violations,  political scandals, impeachment procedings and intrigue you are going to love the Clinton presidency part two!

August 26: Trump vs. Hillary: A Summation by Paul Craig Roberts, read here.
“If the result of Americans’ dereliction of duty is a nuclear war, the American people will be responsible for the death of planet Earth. One would hope that with responsibility this great on their shoulders, the American people will reject the unequivocal war candidate and take their chances on holding Trump accountable to his words.”

August 25: Hillary Clinton: Class President of a Failed Generation by David Stockman, read here. “Hillary rose to fame delivering an idealistic commencement address at Wellesley at the beginning of her career. But like the generation she represents, she has betrayed those grand ideals over a lifetime of compromise, expediency, self-promotion and complacent acquisition of power, wealth and fame.

She doesn’t deserve another stint at the podium — let alone the bully pulpit.”

August 24: Trump Calls for Special Prosecutor on Clinton Foundation by Soren K. at marketslant.com, read here.
Comment: Most criticism of the Clinton Foundation focuses exclusively on the donors buying influence aspect, which is appropriate. But ignore the other aspect of the scandal, what was the money used for where did it go? ‘Donors could give as much as they wanted because the foundation is a “charity.”’ How much of this money was actually used for charitable work and how much into Bill and Hillary’s pocket? That is the real scandal. I suspect the donors understood the money would end up in the Clinton’s pockets, which is why they thought the money would be more effective in buying influence. NTM

August 24: The Foreign Invasion of American Politics
Foreign free riders hate Trump and love Hillary – with good reason, by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.
“We need to put up a roadblock on that particular byway, and the only way to do that is by instituting a mutual nonaggression pact: we’ll stay out of your business if you stay out of ours. This requires nothing less than a 180-degree turn in our interventionist foreign policy, away from a reckless globalism and toward a mindset that puts America first.”

August 24: Buy Silver, Not Gold, if You are a Big Time Player by GS Early at Commodity Trade Mantra, read here.

August 23: Jim Grant: “This Will Turn Out To Be Very Bad For Many People” by Tyler Durden at Zero Hedge, read here.
“I’m very bullish on gold and I’m very bullish on gold mining shares. That’s because I think that the world will lose faith in the PhD standard in monetary management. Gold is by no means the best investment. Gold is money and money is sterile, as Aristotle would remind us. It does not pay dividends or earn income. So keep in mind that gold is not a conventional investment. That’s why I don’t want to suggest that it is the one and only thing that people should have their money in. But to me, gold is a very timely way to invest in monetary disorder.”

August 23: Children of the American Police State: Just Another Brick in the Wall By John W. Whitehead at LewRockwell.com, read here.

August 22: Nicholas Kristof: War Crimes Enabler
He wants US intervention – on the side of Islamist head-choppers by Justin Raimondo at Antiwar.com, read here.

August 22: Egon von Greyerz audio interview at KWN, listen here. The Panic That Will Be A Game-Changer For World Financial Markets. Buy gold and silver.

August 22: Big Policies, Bigger Failures by Peter Schiff, read here. “To me, the fate of the Fed’s stimulus policy is as clear as that of President Obama’s failed experiment in healthcare. It’s a disaster hiding in plain sight. The stimulus itself has so crippled the U.S. economy that it can now barely survive without it. As it limps along the crutch must grow ever larger, as the support it provides weakens the economy to the point where it becomes too small to provide adequate support. But rather than acknowledging that the Fed’s policies have failed (an admission that any honest proponent of Obamacare should make), the proponents of stimulus are doubling down.”

August 22: Olympia’s True Victors  A Deeply Vicious Festival, Theodore Dalrymple on the Olympics. At Taki’s Magazine, read here. “Once again the only country of any size that, as far as I can see, emerges from the Olympic Games with any credit is India. Accounting for something like a sixth of the world’s population, it had not—the last time I looked at the table—won a single medal in any event. This proves that, at least in this regard, it has its priorities right. It has steadfastly refused to measure itself by the number of medals it wins at the Olympics and does nothing whatever to encourage its citizens to devote their lives to trying to jump a quarter of a centimeter longer or higher than anyone else in human history.”

August 21: This Historic Event Is About To Shock The World by Stephen Leeb at KWN, read here. “we will see a bull market in gold that will dwarf any bull market we’ve ever seen.”

August 21: Gold Is Standing At The Crossroads by Jesse Felder, read here. “if you don’t own gold, you don’t know history or you don’t know the economics of it.”

August 21: It Ain’t Over Till It’s Over by Patrick J. Buchanan at LewRockwell.com, read here.

August 21: Hillary Clinton: Dictatress of the World by David Stockman at The Daily Reckoning, read here. “As John Quincy Adams so profoundly observed long ago, America’s security does not require that it search the world for monsters to destroy.
But apparently, Hillary Clinton does.”

August 20: What Is Happening Around The World Is Scaring The Hell Out Of People; Peter Boockvar audio interview at KWN, listen here.

August 20: How We Know ISIS was ‘MADE IN THE USA  By Roger Stone at LeewRockwell.com, read here. Trump is right, Obama and Hillary created ISIS.            “In Washington, ISIS is widely known as “John McCain’s army”. So what’s wrong with a candidate for president making the point that his opponent and her most prominent support actually created ISIS? Trump is right.”